Ignoring the evidence and running with the worst case scenario is according to the BBC ‘Hard evidence’ .
“Global warming will lead to a significant increase in extreme summer downpours in the UK, a study suggests. The Met Office and Newcastle University researchers say there could be five times the number of “extreme rainfall events” per hour, under extreme warming projections. This would cause “really severe” flash flooding in many parts of the UK, according to the scientists. However, they caution that this result is based on only one computer model
Dr Lizzie Kendon, the report’s lead author told BBC News.”It is the same one that is used for the weather forecasts on the BBC, so it is incredibly realistic and it represents these very intense convective-type storms that haven’t been captured before.”The researchers used both the low resolution and the high resolution models to examine the climate patterns that have occurred in recent years and to look ahead to what might happen at the end of this century. They assessed the period up to the year 2100 using the most high-end climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.”
Where, oh where to start?