Unprecedented’ storms and floods are more common than we think

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Kelvin Vaughan

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http://phys.org/news/2015-12-unprecedented-storms-common.html

A touch of commonsense from Phys.Org:


A team of experts from the Universities of Aberystwyth, Cambridge and Glasgow have drawn on historic records to build a clearer picture of the flooding.

They conclude that 21st-century flood events such as Storm Desmond are not exceptional or unprecedented in terms of their frequency or magnitude, and that flood frequency and flood risk forecasts would be improved by including data from flood deposits dating back hundreds of years.

Dr Tom Spencer from the University of Cambridge said: “In the House of Commons on Monday (December 7), the Environment Secretary called the flooding in north-west England ‘unprecedented’ and ‘consistent with climate change trends’. But is this actually true?

“Conventional methods of analysing river flow gauge records cannot answer these questions because upland catchments usually have no or very short records of water levels of around 30 or…

View original post 445 more words

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