The problem with Chicken Little’s, Cry Wolf’s and Rent Seekers is they are so tied to their deluded narrative they have no sense of proportion nor do they know when to reel in the B.S. Take NOAA’s response to the current El-Ninõ;
Was El Niño solely responsible for the record warm winter for the contiguous United States? No, but for some areas, like the northern U.S., the El Niño likely played a role. We know that other factors including climate patterns in the north Atlantic, Pacific, and tropics also influenced our weather during winter. Longer-term climate change was also a player, similar to Alice, the Brady family’s housekeeper—an ever-present force influencing outcomes to varying degrees.
Contrast this to Bill Illis’s far more sage approach:
Let’s look at the El Nino weather impact maps.
Pretty accurate compared to what happened over the last 90 days don’t you think.
Let’s also look at the Out-going Long-wave Radiation map which gives you an indication where it was more cloudy [Blues and Reds] (and hence more precipitation) versus less cloudy [Brown and Yellows] (and hence less precipitation). Again, pretty accurate.
The big Red Spot in the middle of the Pacific is really what makes the Earth warmer in an El Nino. All these thunderstorm clouds hold the extra heat from the central Pacific in. The heat from the El Nino does not get to escape to space, the clouds hold the heat in. It takes time for these thunderstorms to develop and then time for the general atmospheric circulation patterns to spread the extra heat around to the warmer than normal areas in the rest of the planet. This is actually the reason for the 3 month lag as well. The El Nino peaked in mid-November but the temperature impact did not peak until mid-February.
Incidentally, the Big Red Spot, at lower than normal OLR of 50 W/m2 is an astounding difference from normal (especially over 90 days). Nowhere else on the planet has numbers anything like this. 50 W/m2 should be compared to the forcing from doubling CO2 of just 3.7 W/m2 so a -50 W/m2 over such a big area is a big deal. This is how an El Nino impacts the weather.
The “Climate Change”, “Global Warming” and “unprecedented” memes are hackneyed, lazy excuses for those who have no understanding – nor a wish to understand – the majesty of our climate. They are going to be left floundering in the years to come and one can only hope subject to intense levels of scrutiny as we follow the money the have lavishly squandered on themselves, their cronies and their pet projects.