UK MET Office to Push Inaccurate Forecasts out to 12 Months

Until they get it very wrong and need an even more expensive computer 😉

Watts Up With That?

UK MET Office Exeter UK MET Office Exeter – By Richard Knights, CC BY-SA 2.0, Link

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

The UK MET is celebrating that their new £97 million computer can now create slightly better 12 month predictions than tossing a coin.

The Met Office has shown it can predict the weather one year in advance with its new £97 million supercomputer.

Scientists believe they can now forecast with some accuracy the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) weather phenomenon in the Atlantic Ocean which largely governs the British winter.

The phenomenon forms because of low-pressure over Iceland and high pressure over the Azores in the Atlantic.

A large pressure difference brings increased westerly winds, cool summers and mild, rainy winters. In contrast when the difference is small there are fewer winds and Britain shivers in a big freeze during the winter months.

It was previously thought that the NAO was a chaotic…

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4 thoughts on “UK MET Office to Push Inaccurate Forecasts out to 12 Months

  1. It will be quite funny should the new BBC forecasters do better than the MetO when they take over as I presume being a company they don’t get given big fancy computers.

  2. Coming back to this, Christopher Booker commented in his column that they might be using a different model for this instead of the CO2 driven one that produced the wettest droughts, coldest warm winters, coldest barbecue summers etc. If correct, then this will be interesting.

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