Like most records, the paucity of data and the non standardisation of recording techniques means we are often comparing apples to bricks. Whilst models are a good tool for analysis and understanding (not forecasting or projecting) we still have much to learn from the past and it seems that the interest in that is not on the academic community, who rely on the former, but in the online community of the curious.
As H.H. Lamb said;
…it was clear that the first and greatest need was to establish the facts of the past record of the natural climate in times before any side effects of human activities could well be important.
By Paul Homewood
With Hurricane Maria tearing heading towards Puerto Rico, there will be yet more alarmist claims about how climate change is making hurricanes worse.
Maria is the fourth major hurricane in the Atlantic this year, following Harvey, Irma and Jose. But how unusual is this?
Fortunately we don’t have to rely on Al Gore or Jennifer Lawrence. The reality is that it is not unusual at all.
Leading tropical cyclone expert, Chris Landsea of NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division has put together a list of Atlantic storms back to 1851.
This is what he has to say:
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