It will be interesting if a Niña develops again and how this would affect temperatures. However a large enough VEI eruption that pumps into the stratosphere would be a real source throw. Either way it’s not looking likely run away warming is anything to worry about in the next decade 🤔
The post below updates the UAH record of air temperatures over land and ocean. But as an overview consider how recent rapid cooling has now completely overcome the warming from the last 3 El Ninos (1998, 2010 and 2016). The UAH record shows that the effects of the last one are now gone as of April 2021. (UAH baseline is now 1991-2020).
For reference I added an overlay of CO2 annual concentrations as measured at Moana Loa. While temperatures fluctuated up and down ending flat, CO2 went up steadily by ~55 ppm, a 15% increase.
Furthermore, going back to previous warmings prior to the satellite record shows that the entire rise of 0.8C since 1947 is due to oceanic, not human activity.
The animation is an update of a previous analysis from Dr. Murry Salby. These graphs use Hadcrut4 and include the 2016 El Nino warming event. The exhibit…
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