Forecast predicts below-average hurricane activity

Although Joe B has warned of possible in close season in Gulf of Mexico.

Tallbloke's Talkshop

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US researchers who accurately forecast last year’s busy Atlantic hurricane season are not expecting a similar level of activity this year, partly due to lower sea surface temperatures as El Niño effects fade away.

Hurricane season didn’t officially start until June 1, but Subtropical Storm Alberto made an appearance early, causing more than $50 million in damage as it made its way inland and up the coast in late May, reports

Twelve people—seven in Cuba and five in the U.S.—died as Alberto’s fallout included flooding, landslides, tornados and mudslides.

Is Alberto’s early-season appearance an indicator of another active Atlantic hurricane season? Not necessarily, according to predictions by researchers at the University of Arizona.

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World Temps Likely to Rise

"A sub-tropical humid climate on parts of Europe... conceivable" Geneva, 21 June A warning that significant rises in global temperature are probable over the next century has been issued by the World Health Organization (WMO). This would be the consequence of a build-up of atmospheric carbon dioxide... The WMO statement, approved by its executive committee, … Continue reading World Temps Likely to Rise

Hansen – 30 years on, world is failing ‘miserably’ to address climate change

Tony Heller’s article Thirty Years Of The James Hansen Clown Show looks at how the predictions are faring three decades later


By Paul Homewood

From the Guardian:


Thirty years after a former Nasa scientist sounded the alarm for the general public about climate change and human activity, the expert issued a fresh warning that the world is failing “miserably” to deal with the worsening dangers.

While Donald Trump and many conservatives like to argue that climate change is a hoax, James Hansen, the 77-year-old former Nasa climate scientist, said in an interview at his home in New York that the relevant hoax today is perpetrated by those leaders claiming to be addressing the problem.

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BBC Discover UHI!

As someone beside me just stood “That’s why you shouldn’t have your weather gauges in London” but clearly they know nothing as they aren’t intravenously linked to ambulance chasing and rent seeking.

Hopefully some traction will be gained on looking at UHI for CET as TonyB has alluded to recently.


By Paul Homewood

h/t Joe Public

BBC Weather discovers UHI effect!


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UK Sea Level Rise In 2017

But, but, but Paul…the Times said its doom;

Dublin and Cork will face energy blackouts by 2050 as power plants are flooded by rising sea levels, a study has warned.

Belfast would also face a direct threat of flooding caused by climate change if radical changes are not made worldwide to tackle rising temperatures.

Irish people will be among billions of city dwellers likely to be threatened just 30 years from now, say researchers. Coastal cities will be hit by heatwaves, flooding, food and water shortages.

Who are these sage ‘researchers’ foretelling the doom 500mm rise in 30 years (i. e. ~17mm per year)? ;

The study was carried out by environmental lobby groups and C40 Cities, a group of cities taking action on climate change.


And who funds C40?

Clinton Foundation
World Bank
UK Government!!!

So we help fund this nonsense. 🤐


By Paul Homewood


Tide gauge data for the UK has just been published by PSMSL for 2017, so we can take a look at the latest numbers for the two major, long running sites at North Shields and Newlyn:



Long term rates of rise are similar to what we are used to seeing globally, although it must be pointed out that the coast at Newlyn is sinking, maybe by as much as 1mm/year. (See above map).

The 120-month running totals show the enormous amount of variability, not just on a monthly or annual basis, but even over much longer periods.



Little wonder then that proper oceanographers advise against relying on such short term trends. For instance, Bruce Douglas stated in 1996:

NOAA publish 50-year sea level trends for major sites. These are run at 5-year intervals, and have recently been updated for 2015.

Data for North Shields and…

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