African Penguin Decline – BBC Fake News

And in today’s climate change news… 🤔

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

As we found out last week, the directive has come down from on high at the BBC to ramp up climate alarm at every opportunity they get.

The memo has evidently been received in the BBC newsroom, who broadcast this flagrantly dishonest piece yesterday about African penguins on Outside Source (at about 51 minutes in):

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b0bnl4gy/outside-source-15102018

Unfortunately the programme expires on iPlayer tonight, but this is the full transcript:

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Did global warming ‘supercharge’ Hurricane Michael?

The Bloviating Bonehead yet again proves his ignorance
Penn State University climatologist Michael Mann told ThinkProgress that “once again we see a storm undergoing extreme rapid intensification over unusually warm ocean waters. We saw this pattern last year with Harvey and earlier this year with Florence

A scientist;
if you look at the history of Jul-Aug-Sept average sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the eastern Gulf (available here, 25N-30N, 80W-90W), you will see that since 1860, this summer is only the 9th warmest in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Even more astounding is that out of the top 10 warmest Gulf years since 1860, 7 occurred before 1970, which is before we experienced any significant warming.

So, all the “experts” can do is make vague claims about how major hurricanes like Michael are what we can expect more of in a warming world, but the data show that – so far at least – the data do not support the theory.

Major hurricanes are part of nature. As evidence of this, I will also remind people of the study of lake bottom sediments in Western Lake in the Florida panhandle, not far from where Michael made landfall, that showed the last 1,000 years have been relatively quiet for Category 4 to 5 hurricanes, but the period from 1,000 to 3,400 years ago was a “hyperactive” period for intense landfalls at that location.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/10/florida-major-hurricane-strikes-still-no-trend/

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

It did not take long for the climate mafia to emerge from the woodwork:

image

Hurricane Michael exploded in intensity this week, from a rather nondescript tropical depression Sunday with winds of 35 mph to a Category 4 monster Wednesday with 155 winds.

When it hit land, it became the most powerful hurricane on record to slam Florida’s Panhandle and the third-strongest U.S. landfall of all time.

Along with other weather factors, Michael’s rapid intensification was fuelled in part by unusually warm sea water in the Gulf of Mexico. Warm water of at least 80 degrees fuels hurricanes, and the water in the eastern Gulf this week was as much as 4 to 5 degrees warmer than normal.

Although random weather patterns certainly played a role, the warm waters in the Gulf have a “human fingerprint” of climate change, according to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration climate and…

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Richard Lindzen: ‘Warming of any significance ceased 20 years ago’

It’s always about the money;

Warming of any significance ceased about 20 years ago, and 2C warming was looking increasingly unlikely,’ he wrote in an email to Daily Mail Australia.

‘There was an obvious need for something more plausible to ‘sustain’ the renewables bubble.’

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Earth and climate – an ongoing controversy
H/T The GWPF

This will go down like a lead balloon with the usual climate-obsessed suspects and their followers. Full lecture here.

Professor Lindzen said the IPCC report this week had reduced the alleged tipping point from 2C to 1.5C because there had been no significant warming for 20 years, reports the Daily Mail.

‘Warming of any significance ceased about 20 years ago, and 2C warming was looking increasingly unlikely.’

Professor Richard Lindzen slammed conventional thinking on global warming as ‘nonsense’ in a lecture for skeptical think tank Global Warming Policy Foundation.

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Florida’s Major Hurricane Strikes: No Change In 120 Years

Attributing the latest hurricane in any way to global warming is the ultimate in cherry-picking the data. In fact, they don’t even show the data.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

From Roy Spencer via GWPF:

Florida’s Major Hurricane Strikes: No Change In 120 Years

  • Roy Spencer

I’ve updated a plot of Florida major hurricane strikes since 1900 with Hurricane Michael, and the result is that there is still no trend in either intensity or frequency of strikes over the last 118 years:

This is based upon National Hurricane Center data. The trend line in intensity is flat, and the trend line in number of storms (not shown) is insignificantly downward.

Nevertheless, the usual fearmongers are claiming Hurricane Michael is somehow tied to climate change.

After all, the Gulf of Mexico is unusually warm, right?

Yes, but if you look at the history of Jul-Aug-Sept average sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the eastern Gulf (available here, 25N-30N, 80W-90W), you will see that since 1860, this summer is only the 9th warmest in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Even more…

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Met-Office invents infallible climate prediction method

🤔

Tallbloke's Talkshop

The Met-Office has issued a ‘decadal’ climate forecast which runs from 2018 to 2023. Maybe it should be called a ‘semi-decadal forecast’ instead, but we’ll let it pass, as that’s not the most amusing aspect of it by a long chalk.

For starters, there’s the baseline period chosen. 1850-1900. They’ve gone for this so they can scare us with the upper end of the blue prediction envelope exceeding the Dangerous! Global! Warming! politically chosen figure of 1.5C above “pre-industrial”.

Here’s the global measuring station coverage between 1891 and 1920. There was a lot less in 1850.

station-counts-1891-1920-temp

I thought it would be fun to see how the Met-O forecast is doing after 10 months, so I plotted the latest annually averaged HadCRUt 4 global data using Wood For Trees in red and overlaid it on the Met-O prediction plot:

met-o-2018-2023

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Yes, the Ocean Has Warmed; No, It’s Not ‘Global Warming’

Well worth a read.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

How often have we heard the claim that the “missing heat” is hiding in the oceans?

Back in 2000, leading oceanographer, Robert Stevenson, debunked that theory:

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Contrary to recent press reports that the oceans hold the still-undetected global atmospheric warming predicted by climate models, ocean warming occurs in 100-year cycles, independent of both radiative and human influences.

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@Piers_Corbyn UN (IPCC) launches yet another  ‘Final desperate Climate Alarm call’

Piers' 6 point challenge Piers Corbyn commented on LBC Nick Ferrari show & BBC RadioKent and says: 1. "This is most deluded, desperate, dishonest and fraudulent ever warning of Climate Doom to emanate from the UN, equal only in dishonesty and false-alarmism to their infamous WMD (Weapons of Mass Destruction) Report which led to the … Continue reading @Piers_Corbyn UN (IPCC) launches yet another  ‘Final desperate Climate Alarm call’