While evidence clearly implicates El Niño, we found this climate cycle had a very large accomplice: the moon.In our study, published in Science Advances today, we mapped the expansion and contraction of mangrove forest cover over the past 40 years, and found clear evidence that the moon’s orbital wobble had an effect.Our mapping also shows … Continue reading What caused the world’s largest die-off of mangroves? A wobble in the moon’s orbit is partly to blame
As one of the comments below states: John Kerry is doing a non stop world tour in his jet to get the temperature back to a profitable level.https://youtu.be/FpZhmo4Bvqw
A very tasty set of analogues indeed. https://youtu.be/watch?v=lyb24GjLFYA
Another interesting run down https://YouTube.com/watch?v=acxUgjt9VlY
https://YouTube.com/watch?v=H9tUUwkA9Qs Overview The summer solstice has just passed and the days will grow shorter and shorter from here on out until the winter season gets underway. While winter is still a long way off, there are already some clues that can provide some insight as to what kind of weather we can expect around here … Continue reading Watch “Early signs for a cold and snowy winter” by Perspecta Weather”
Interesting that November 1950 comes up, one Joe Bastardi has mentioned in the past few weeks. A synopsis of the video can be found below. https://youtube.com/watch?v=OTcmWbi8QOY The twelfth update beings with a final look at the Oceans and ENSO. La Nina has continued to strengthen across all regions of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. We now … Continue reading Watch “Twelfth And Final Winter 2017/18 Update”
An interesting look at analogues at 2 and 1 year before solar minimum. I'd have liked to have seen them correlated to QBO ENSO and the AMO (something for me when I boot up my excel sheets again!). https://youtube.com/watch?v=DG3rNp4caqs
This is stunning to watch and the evolution of #Ophelia as it moves east and interacts with the Saharan Dust is illuminating although the Ellie Gouldings of the world will still blame #ClimateChange (see here). https://youtube.com/watch?v=h1eRp0EGOmE
Lots to digest today and a continuance of cold signals for the upcoming winter in the analogues. As always where the cold lands is the question. https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZwRnpLWcW7E
Gavin with the latest ad winter ebbs ever closer https://youtube.com/watch?v=-aStcPUbFyI
Certainly something noticeable if you've been watching. It doesn't need the CO2 fairy. https://YouTube.com/watch?v=lku33_7_iI4
From Dr Roy Spencer: Now that winter has officially ended, I thought it would be useful to address the central role that Russia played in ending California’s drought, as well as in the unusually warm conditions over the eastern U.S. this past winter. First, let’s address the record California rains and mountain snowpack. While such a … Continue reading The Russians Hacked the US Winter Weather 😉
What a relief that there is no model in sight
By Paul Homewood
Compiled by Dr Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the University Centre in Svalbard (Norway), the new climate survey is in sharp contrast to the habitual alarmism of other reports that are mainly based on computer modelling and climate predictions.
Among the key findings of the survey are:
** While 2016 was one of the warmest years on record, global temperatures dropped back at the end of the year to levels prior to the strong 2015/16 El Niño. This fact suggests that much of the global 2015–16 temperature peak was caused by a one of the strongest El Niños on record.
** Since 2003, the global temperature estimate based on surface station measurements has consistently drifted away from the satellite-based estimate in a warm direction, and is now about 0.1◦C higher.
** Much of the heat given off during the 2015–16 El Niño appears to…
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Another good round up by Gavin as we lead into winter (video below). One thing I would question is the discussion regarding the anomalous QBO. The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is a tropical lower stratospheric, downward propagating zonal wind variation, with an average period of ~28 months. The QBO has been constantly documented since 1953. Here we … Continue reading Gavin’s Eleventh And Final Winter 2016/17 Update+QBO Discussion