From Dr Roy Spencer:
Now that winter has officially ended, I thought it would be useful to address the central role that Russia played in ending California’s drought, as well as in the unusually warm conditions over the eastern U.S. this past winter.
First, let’s address the record California rains and mountain snowpack. While such a wet winter usually requires a strong El Nino, we had just the opposite — a weak La Nina.
So, what happened?
California: The “Atmospheric River” Doesn’t Explain It
Blaming the wet winter in California on the “atmospheric river” effect is, in my professional opinion, rather lame. It’s like blaming a flash flood on “too much water”. Well, duh.
So, what caused the atmospheric river?
A persistent series of extratropical storms (low pressure systems) coming into California.
But what caused the storms?
An enhanced temperature contrast between the tropics and mid-latitudes, always required for the formation of such low pressure systems.
But what caused the enhanced temperature contrast?
It wasn’t El Nino, the usual culprit in stormy California winters, because we had the opposite — La Nina.
It was because our winter was hacked by the Russians
It all started back in October, 2016. (Before the election! A coincidence? I think not.)
October experienced an unusually rapid buildup of the cold season air mass in Siberia, as seen in this temperature departure-from-normal map (all maps courtesy of Weatherbell.com):
Read the rest
The latest from Piers is below. I’d you want his full thoughts, you can subscribe here. (Note Britain & Ireland FEB 45d is now loaded.)
“After that arctic snow blast for Britain +Ireland expect more surprises for rest of winter” says Piers Corbyn
“Despite fearsome cold in most of Europe this winter (eg the coldest Orthodox Xmas (7 Jan) in Moscow for 120 years and terrible snow in centre, east and SE parts 4-9 Jan) Britain & Ireland had so far missed out on much snow /Arctic blasts until around Jan 12th. Although this was an earlier ice-snow hit (in detail) than we expected for Brit+Ire, it and what is coming was/is in line with our WeatherAction European developments forecast types this month and as one subsciber commented on our WeatherBlog our BI+Eu forecast maps and the Observed maps have been and are “incredibly similar”:-
On 13 Jan 2017, Fred subscriber wrote:
Been going through the model runs and then a Piers forecast and then the dates….time and again. And currently synoptically from Piers’ map and now….incredibly similar. Furthermore, what we have had was a pep up surprise and there is a lot more fun and games to come and wild jetstream behaviour to come. I was thinking Piers timing was wrong….no I have misread the situation as what is happening now is the synoptic situation has slipped into what Piers has forecast after the interesting pep up. If u haven’t got the forecast… get it and you will see. Lot’s of winter to come.
“It it also gratifying to see the deluded believers in the #FakeScience of ‘GlobalWarming’ have to come to terms with the fact their personal local square mile of the globe cannot anymore be ‘evidence’ of the ‘end of snow’ (since the last time it snowed there). The #FakeScience and #FakeNews of so-called man-made #ClimateChange will terminate this year.
“The NOT important storm surge of 13/14th apart from a small event in East Yorkshire was not really a surprise to WeatherAction.
Authorities must indeed be ready and the Full Moon was indeed a factor and we must congratulate the Met Office and the environment agency / local authorities on short-term detailed forecasting and organisation. Nevertheless the extra pep needed for it appears ALL these really extreme events – ie a WeatherAction R4 /R5 period – was NOT present; so no over-topping in the warned parts of the East coast.
“WARNING! IN THE COMING TWO DECADES it is however important to note the #WildJetStream (= #MiniIceAge in cold parts) conditions that bring these strong (potentially extreme) North winds and storm surges will be more prevelant.
The weather is already having an effect on crops in Europe: